TENTANG NotLikeDis

Betting Advice from Mctendies

Using this group to keep a record of my personal analysis. Only use my advice as a resource! Do not use my analysis to blindly bet off matches.

LIHAT SEMUA

DISKUSI POPULER

LIHAT SEMUA (14)

PENGUMUMAN TERKINI

May 14th: My Bets Today

14 Mei 2016 - Mctendies | 0 Komentar

Dignitas vs Epsilon

Aq's Thoughts:
I don't like betting on Dignitas games. I've had a really poor betting history regarding Dignitas games and they seem to be one of the teams I can't really read, but here goes. Dignitas are generally the best tier 2 team when on form. They're really aggressive and they have the fire power to make it work with their two heavy fraggers in Kjaerbye & Konfig. Their best maps include Mirage and Cobblestone. Recently, they've been performing poorly against t1 teams, but considering the teams in attendance at this tournament, they're one of the favorites. Epsilon are a team full Swedish fragger 'leftovers'. Relative to the other teams, they lack a lot of coordination, so they have to rely on winning both pistol rounds and a massive under-performance from any of the opposing teams in order to upset any of these teams. Draken in particular has looked really promising and in theory can take advantage of a team lacking a primary awper like Dignitas, but realistically, Epsilon doesn't have enough fragging power to challenge Dignitas in any other position. With all this said, it's a bo1 after all, so I wouldn't recommend too high of a bet in case the planets somehow align for Epsilon.

Risk: Low-Medium
My Odds: 85-15 Dignitas
My bet: 8% Dignitas

SK Gaming vs Orbit

Aq's Thoughts:
This isn't the best of games to bet on, but I'm going to be betting on it anyway. SK have looked really inconsistent of late barely beating Escape, then proceeding to destroy CSGL to qualify for LAN. Orbit are ex-efrag and are pretty much never consistent. They either play terribly or very well. Another note worth mentioning is they are much better on LAN and at this LAN they will be playing without Dream3r who has historically been one of their better players. I happen to think that they seem to have better team play with Pnshr, but he can only do so much against better teams. Man for man Orbit are the better team in terms of fraggers, but SK has the bigger map pool and greater team cohesion when they're on point.

Risk: High
My Odds: 65-35 in favor of SK
My bet: 3% SK if <65%, 2% Orbit if <30%

Baca Selengkapnya

May 10th Underdog Heaven

9 Mei 2016 - Mctendies | 0 Komentar

Gambit vs CSGL

Aq's Thoughts:
CSGL have looked decently recently picking up wins over SK, Flipside, and Godsent. While this might look good on paper, they happen to be one of the more inconsistent teams, so it isn't a matter of if they will lose, but when they will. Gambit are one of the most underrated teams in general. I believe this is mostly because of their small map pool (primarily Cache and Train), but in this particular matchup, their map pool works fine. Additionally, Gambit seem to be one of the better forcebuy teams. I can't recall how many forcebuys they won in their last match. It's actually kind of ridiculous what some of these players can do with deagles. I've never been so moist in my life. Dosia-kun is so kawaii

The veto phase should go like this:
Gambit ban overpass
CSGL ban inferno
Gambit ban mirage/Cobble
CSGL ban Train
Gambit pick Cache
CSGL pick Mirage/Cobble
final map is Dust2

Risk: High
My Odds: 55-45 in favor of CSGL
My bet: Low (5%) on Gambit when <35%

Envyus vs Virtus Pro

Aq's Thoughts:
These two teams haven't played too often recently which leaves many questions. Any odds favoring envyus by 2-6% should be accurate. The veto phase should favor Envyus and in terms of individual skill they're favored, but due to the current odds I will be skipping this match.

Risk: High
My Odds: 53-47 in favor on NV
My bet: Skip/icb on favorite

SK Gaming vs Escape

Aq's Thoughts:
Under a stable roster, Escape might have some decent upset potential, but because they're constantly changing their fifth, this leaves little room for coordination. They have some danish sub who from my knowledge is a no-namer while SK imo have Cadian subbing who under the current circumstances is an upgrade from Friis who has been underperforming badly.

The veto phase should go like this:
SK ban Inferno
Escape ban Cobblestone
SK ban Dust2
Escape ban Train
SK pick Overpass/Mirage
Escape pick Cache
Final map is Overpass/Mirage

I heavily favor SK on two of three maps: Mirage and Overpass, with a slight favoring on Cache, as Escape can realistically take it if a couple members over perform and SK don't adjust properly.

Remember, this match doesn't come without risk as guys like Deadfox and Maeve are some of the best t2 fraggers in EU currently. While the upset potential is small, a bad veto phase from SK can turn things upside down.

This isn't the best of matches to bet on, but it is what it is. I recommend waiting until maps are chosen, as some of these teams seem to love screwing up pick/ban.

Risk: Medium-High
My Odds: 80-20 in favor of SK
My bet: Medium on SK (7%) when <80%, ICB Escape otherwise

Baca Selengkapnya

1 Komentar

< >

pope pad cheenis

22 Mar 2016 @ 7:40pm

"here in america, abraham lincoln made it illegal to own ♥♥♥♥♥♥ that hard"

< >

LIHAT SEMUA (3)

ANGGOTA GRUP

Admin

Moderator